ILO's New Estimate of the Number of Slaves Worldwide: 20.9 Million
On June 1, the United Nations’ International Labor
Organization (ILO) published a revised estimate of the number of slaves
worldwide--20.9 million. Accurate data on slavery is essential for developing
effective institutional policies for its eradication. The ILO’s statistics on
global slavery are considered the most authoritative estimate. They are used
not only by the U.N. but by the U.S. Department of State, as well as most foreign
governments and anti-trafficking NGOs.
In 2005, the ILO had published the results of their initial
attempt to estimate the number slaves in the world--12.5 million. Having
revised the number upward in 2012, the ILO cautions to not conclude that the total
has increased. The 2005 figure was considered only an estimate of the minimum
number of slaves. The 2012 study was based on a more sophisticated methodology,
plus more and better data sources. The new total is not considered a minimum estimate,
but it is still considered a conservative estimate.
The report breaks down the number of slaves according to
various categories: geographic region, age, gender, form of slavery--sexual or
labor, and how many were enslaved while migrating for work or otherwise crossing
borders. The study shows that Asia and the Pacific region have the largest
number of slaves—11.7 million. More males than females are enslaved in labor
slavery, but both women and children are much more vulnerable to sexual
slavery. Fifty-five percent of female slaves are used in sex slavery. Twenty-six
percent of all slaves are children. Ninety-eight percent of sex slaves are
female. Half of all enslavements lasted for 6 months or less, with an average
enslavement of 18 months.
Migration has been a well known risk factor for human
trafficking, but estimates based on movement were not included in the 2005
study. The 2012 study shows that of slaves
who crossed borders, 74% are used for sexual exploitation. Bear in mind that
slaves who have crossed borders may have been enslaved first, and then forced
to cross a border, or they may have crossed a border voluntarily and been
enslaved afterwards.
The study was conducted using a statistical sampling
methodology called capture-recapture. This is a technique that was developed
for estimating counts of elusive populations—like the number of fish in a pond
or the number of homeless people in a city. It involves taking two different
samples from a population, measuring the overlap between the two samples, applying
some mathematics and extrapolating.
In this study, the two samples were taken by two different
teams that worked independently from each other. The team members were given
two days of training and testing in identifying the conditions that constitute
slavery. The two teams were given offices in areas that were separate from each
other, and they were instructed to not communicate with each other. The raw
data that they collected was taken from media reports, NGOs, government bodies
including the police, academic reports, ILO reports, and worker unions. Specialists
at the ILO verified that each case of enslavement met the ILO definition of
slavery. The overall survey was subject to peer review by an independent panel
of academic researchers and several government agencies. Among the members of
the peer review panel was Nomi Network Advisory Board member Siddharth Kara.
Apparently, few nations attempt to survey or estimate the
number of human trafficking victims within their borders. Among the ILO's sources
of data on human trafficking victims were ten governments, of which only four had
conducted national surveys. While the 2012 ILO study was a great deal more
comprehensive than the one in 2005, the ILO is hoping to get more countries to survey
human trafficking activity, in order to compile more accurate estimates in the
future. Beate Andrees, of Geneva, Switzerland, is the head of the
ILO’s Special Action Programme to Combat Forced Labour and was the project
manager for the study. In an interview
with Al Jazeera, in response to a question about trends in global slavery, she
said, “Well, the truth is we don’t really know what the trends are because the
data is still very weak. We have seen, as compared to 2005 when we published
our first figures, that indeed the number is much higher than we thought back
in 2005. And that’s shocking—it’s an urgent call for action. We also see that
the Africa region is actually more affected than we thought a few years ago.
This is probably due to that we have much better data now from Africa, so we
have a better understanding of the problem in this region.”
Let us not forget the human faces behind the statistics.
Beate Andrees says, “Most victims don’t dare to denounce their exploiters. They
are in a very difficult situation, under threat. Very often the coercion is
subtle, but those who are affected don’t know where to turn for help.”
A
Summary of the Results
Classification
|
Category
|
Number
of Slaves, Millions |
Percent
of Total Slaves |
Slaves
per 1,000 |
Total
|
Worldwide
|
20.9
|
100%
|
3
|
Migrants
|
Migrant Workers
|
9.1
|
44%
|
|
Non-Migrant Workers
|
11.8
|
56%
|
||
Form of Slavery
|
Labor
|
14.2
|
68%
|
|
Sexual
|
4.5
|
22%
|
||
State Imposed Labor
|
2.2
|
10%
|
||
Age
|
Adults
|
15.4
|
74%
|
|
Children
|
5.5
|
26%
|
||
Age, Sex Slaves
|
Adults
|
3.555
|
79%
|
|
Children
|
0.945
|
21%
|
||
Gender
|
Female
|
11.4
|
55%
|
|
Male
|
9.5
|
45%
|
||
Sex Slaves
|
Male
|
0.09
|
2%
|
|
Female
|
4.41
|
98%
|
||
Regions
|
Asia and Pacific
|
11.7
|
56%
|
3.3
|
Africa
|
3.7
|
18%
|
4
|
|
Latin America and Carib,
|
1.8
|
9%
|
3.1
|
|
East/South/Cent Eur.; CIS
|
1.6
|
7%
|
4.2
|
|
Dev'd Nations includ. EU
|
1.5
|
7%
|
1.5
|
|
Middle East
|
0.6
|
3%
|
3.4
|
A Summary of the Results by
Migration Status
Category
|
Percent
Cross Border |
Percent
Internal Migration |
Percent
None |
Sex Slaves in Private Economy
|
74.0
|
19.0
|
7.0
|
Labor Slaves in Private Economy
|
18.5
|
15.2
|
66.3
|
State Imposed Forced Labor
|
0.0
|
6.0
|
94.0
|
Total
|
29.0
|
15.0
|
56.0
|
Sources
New ILO Global Estimate of Forced Labor: 20.9 Million
Victims. 6/1/2012.
ILO 2012 Global Estimate of Forced Labour – Executive
Summary. 6/1/2012.
ILO Estimate of Force Labour. Results and Methodology. 2012.
Al Jazeera Interview with Beate Andrees. Posted 6/5/12.
Stephen M. Bauer
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